Monday 11 May 2009

Shift in Chinese Economics

With a sharp slowdown in global growth projected by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) for 2009 and 2010, the chinese economy is undergoing a fundamental shift in design. No longer is it expecting the export driven growth to support its economy, but evidence is showing that China is now looking inwards to drive the country's huge capacity that was once known as "the world's factory floor".

The world's most populous country is leveraging its internal demand to propel it's economy. Indicators showing year on year increases in domestically bound cargo is driving corporates to make a rush to capture the spending power of inland consumers in sectors. Retail sales number have held up and property transactions are surging across the country. China's plan to implement a healthcare reform of $125bn will raise disposable income and reduce need for high saving levels.

If China suceeds in unlocking their domestic demand and coupled with a Rmb4tn fiscal stimulus, it is increasing positive that they have seen the worst of the financial crisis.

Eric Tan, London

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